Background
This post-hoc study investigated whether biomarkers reflecting extracellular matrix (ECM) turnover predicted cardiovascular disease (CVD), mortality, and progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and microalbuminuria.

Methods
Serum levels of specific ECM turnover biomarkers were assessed in 192 participants with T2D and microalbuminuria from an observational study conducted at Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen from 2007 to 2008. Endpoints included CVD events, mortality, and DKD progression, defined as decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of >30 %.

Results
Participants had a mean age of 59 years, with 75 % males. Over a median follow-up of 4.9 to 6.3 years, the study recorded 38 CVD events, 24 deaths, and 40 DKD events. Elevated levels of a degradation fragment of collagen type I (C1M) were associated with an increased risk of >30 % eGFR decline, although this association was not independent of other risk factors. No significant associations were found between other ECM turnover biomarkers and DKD progression, mortality, or CVD risk.

Conclusion
Elevated C1M levels were linked to DKD progression in individuals with T2D and microalbuminuria, but not independently of other risk factors. None of the ECM turnover biomarkers were associated with CVD or mortality.