TY - JOUR

T1 - Modelling excess mortality of the unemployed

T2 - choice of scale and extra-Poisson variability.

AU - Keiding, Niels

AU - Andersen, Per Kragh

AU - Frederiksen, Kirsten

PY - 1990

Y1 - 1990

N2 - Occupational mortality and morbidity is usually studied via standardized mortality (or morbidity) ratios, with little attention to the basic fit of the implicit underlying proportional hazards model. This paper presents a case study on unemployment and mortality, based on the complete Danish male population aged 20-64 years at the 1970 census. The effect of unemployment on the age-specific mortality rate is intermediate between additive and multiplicative and was fitted well by an additive effect on the square root of the mortality. The paper discusses and illustrates whether finer stratification or random residual variation ('frailty') is to be preferred for obtaining a statistically satisfactory fit.

AB - Occupational mortality and morbidity is usually studied via standardized mortality (or morbidity) ratios, with little attention to the basic fit of the implicit underlying proportional hazards model. This paper presents a case study on unemployment and mortality, based on the complete Danish male population aged 20-64 years at the 1970 census. The effect of unemployment on the age-specific mortality rate is intermediate between additive and multiplicative and was fitted well by an additive effect on the square root of the mortality. The paper discusses and illustrates whether finer stratification or random residual variation ('frailty') is to be preferred for obtaining a statistically satisfactory fit.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0025137627&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.2307/2347812

DO - 10.2307/2347812

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 12157993

AN - SCOPUS:0025137627

VL - 39

SP - 63

EP - 74

JO - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics)

JF - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics)

SN - 0035-9254

IS - 1

ER -